Prediction Market
King Forever features a built-in prediction market where you can bet on season outcomes and earn from correct predictions. Think you know who will be MVP? Which territory will dominate? Put your MEFAI where your mouth is.
Every season, 8 prediction markets open automatically. Each market asks a question about the season's outcome. You place bets on the option you think will win, and if you are right, you earn a payout when the season ends.
Starts
Bets
Ends
Paid
| # | Market Question | What You Predict |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Most Expensive Territory | Which territory will have the highest price at season end |
| 2 | Conquest King | Which player will make the most territory conquests |
| 3 | Top Spender | Which player will spend the most MEFAI this season |
| 4 | Strongest Clan | Which clan will have the highest combined power score |
| 5 | Biggest Empire | Which player will own the most territories at season end |
| 6 | Top Earner | Which player will earn the most from territory sales |
| 7 | Winner Territory | Which territory will generate the highest total transaction volume |
| 8 | Special Markets | Castle-specific or territory-specific prediction markets |
To place a prediction bet:
| 1 | Open the Prediction Panel from the header |
| 2 | Browse active markets and select one |
| 3 | Choose the option you want to bet on (e.g., a specific territory or player) |
| 4 | Enter your bet amount (minimum 10 MEFAI) |
| 5 | Use quick buttons (25%, 50%, 75%, 100% of balance) for fast amounts |
| 6 | Review the real-time calculation showing shares, average price, price impact, estimated profit, and ROI |
| 7 | Click "Place Bet" to confirm |
vAMM — Virtual Automated Market Maker
Prediction markets use a constant product formula (x * y = k) for instant, fair pricing. Early bets on the correct outcome get better odds. As more people bet on a popular option, its price rises and the payout decreases. This creates a natural balancing mechanism where contrarian bets can be extremely profitable.
Key pricing details:
| ● | Time Decay — Bets placed early in the season (Day 1) receive a 1.3x multiplier. Bets placed late (Day 7) receive a 0.7x multiplier. Betting early is rewarded |
| ● | Price Impact — Larger bets move the price more. The interface shows you the exact price impact before you confirm |
| ● | Option Probabilities — Each option shows its implied probability based on the current pool distribution |
| ● | Pool Distribution — A visual bar chart shows how the total pool is distributed across the top 5 options |
| Status | Color | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE | Green | Market is open for bets. Place your predictions now. |
| LOCKED | Gold | Market is locked near season end. No new bets accepted. |
| RESOLVED | Blue | Season ended, winner determined, payouts distributed. |
| CANCELLED | Red | Market was cancelled. All bets are refunded. |
Track all your predictions in the My Bets tab within the Prediction Panel:
| ● | Total Invested — The total amount of MEFAI you have bet across all markets |
| ● | Total Winnings — The total amount you have won from resolved markets |
| ● | Net Profit — Your overall prediction profit (green if positive, red if negative) |
| ● | Active Bets — Count of your currently active positions |
| ● | Bet History — Scrollable list showing market question, your chosen option, bet amount, status, and profit/loss |
- Bet EarlyThe time decay multiplier rewards early bets. Placing your prediction on Day 1 gives you 1.3x more shares than the same bet on Day 7.
- Watch the TrendsCheck the battle history and leaderboard to identify emerging leaders before placing your bets. Data-driven predictions win more.
- DiversifySpread your bets across multiple markets. Winning one big prediction can cover losses on others.
- Go ContrarianWhen everyone bets on the obvious favorite, the payout is small. Betting on underdogs with good potential can yield massive returns.